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4.3 Numerical
Modeling as Planning Aid
Today, many
questions regarding the urban climate can also be handled using
numerical models. The rapid technical developments in the
hardware sector have made possible the operation of complex
numerical modeling software on standard PCs. In particular,
numerical models can predict the specific effects of plans and
future situations. Exact measurements of future situations are,
of course, impossible to produce.
The models (e.g. FITNAH
and
METRAS)
available at present can be used for
various types of planning and urban development scenarios.
Macro-scale models (e.g. ABC und MISKAM)
deal with sizes ranging from a few decameters to several
kilometers. Micro-scale models, as a rule, handle small-scale
questions up to a few meters in size.
These types of models find use in various
urban climate scenarios, such as the modeling of wind fields,
cold air flows, and the dispersal of air pollutants (especially
on roads).
In addition to physically complex models are
statistical models, such as the process described in Chapter
4.3.1 for the production of maps of
individual climatic elements from point measurements.
A detailed overview of these
models can be found online at http://www.stadtklima.de/webklima/DE/d_1tools.htm
or in ZENGER (1998). In addition, the services of relevant
specialized consultants should be employed in discrete planning
cases.
The following sections describe several
examples of model application in urgent present-day planning
situations. The widely distributed models used are also capable
of demonstrating guideline characteristics (VDI-Guidelines:
3782, Sections 1 and 8; 3783, Section 6).
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